Anyone who wants to win at blackjack knows how to determine their chances. If you use it well, you can easily defeat the dealer. While Luck and skill are both at stake, strategy plays a huge role in black jack online. First of all, you will need to know how likely it is to hit the Bust on the next move.
Probability of hitting a Bust on the next card
If you choose another card, you need to know what risks you are facing.
Blackjack online is about excitement and uncertainty.
By pulling each extra from the deck, you have a chance to both win and lose. The higher the value of the cards you hold, the greater the possibility that the next one will mean a loss for you.
If your cards have a point value of 11 or less, there is no chance of a Bust, i.e. losing in the next move. Then, for example, having a value of 14 increases it up to 56%. On the other hand, if you already have cards with a value of 21, it is known that the next card will be 100% the cause of drawing busts.
Probability of hitting a Bust on the next card
Hand value
|
Probability
|
do 11
|
0%
|
12
|
31%
|
13
|
39%
|
14
|
56%
|
15
|
58%
|
16
|
62%
|
17
|
69%
|
18
|
77%
|
19
|
85%
|
20
|
92%
|
21
|
100%
|
The probability of hitting the Bust by the dealer
Knowing the probability of a croupier picking up a Bust card is unfortunately a bit more complicated. You don't know the exact point value of his cards. It is important that in addition to counting your own points, pay attention to what value the dealer can currently have in his hand.
Statistically, your opponent's greatest chance of losing is when he draws a card worth 6 points. Depending on the game variant, it is 42/44%. A similarly high chance of 42% is when the dealer picks a card with a value of 5 points. The lowest chance of a Bust is when your opponent draws an ace.
The probability of hitting the Bust by the dealer
Dealer card
|
Probability when standing on 17s
|
Probability of hitting 17s
|
As
|
17%
|
20%
|
2
|
35%
|
36%
|
3
|
37%
|
38%
|
4
|
40%
|
40%
|
5
|
42%
|
42%
|
6
|
42%
|
44%
|
7
|
26%
|
26%
|
8
|
24%
|
24%
|
9
|
23%
|
23%
|
10
|
23%
|
23%
|